家有儿女

二 | 军事观察员周伟政认为，“星座”级护卫舰设计中规中矩，性能务实。周伟政： “星座”级护卫舰放弃了此前追求的“科幻”“超前”路线，显得更加务实。该型舰艇吨位较大，自持力和适航性强，适合远洋部署，防空反导能力突出，且具有较大改装潜力。由于采用了大量成熟技术装备，设计风险小，“星座”级护卫舰能够被以较快的速度批量建造。据了解，美国从上世纪90年代开始，逐步减少护卫舰的数量。    TYRE, Lebanon -- More than 4,200 people have been displaced from villages in south Lebanon by clashes on the border with Israel, and local officials said Friday that they are ill-prepared for the much larger exodus that would ensue if the the limited conflict escalates to an all-out war.Some 1,500 of the displaced are staying in three schools in the coastal city of Tyre, about 20 kilometers (12 miles) north of the border.As children ran through the courtyard and women hung out clothes to dry on chairs at one of those schools on Friday, Mortada Mhanna, head of the disaster management unit of the municipalities in the Tyre area, said hundreds of newly displaced people are arriving each day. Some move on to stay with relatives or rent apartments, but others have no place to go besides the makeshift shelter, while Lebanon's cash-strapped government has few resources to offer.“We can make the decision to open a new school (as a shelter), but if the resources are not secured, we’ll have a problem,” Mhanna said. He appealed to international organizations to "give us enough supplies that if the situation evolves, we can at least give people a mattress to sleep on and a blanket.”The Lebanese militant group Hezbollah and allied Palestinian groups in Lebanon have launched daily missile strikes on northern Israel since the outbreak of the latest Israel-Hamas war on Oct. 7, while Israel has responded by shelling border areas in south Lebanon. To date, the clashes have killed at least 22 people in Lebanon, four of them civilians.Sporadic skirmishes continued Friday while a number of airlines canceled flights to Beirut. Countries including the United States, Saudi Arabia and Germany have warned their citizens to leave Lebanon.For many of the displaced, the current tensions bring back memories of the brutal one-month war between Hezbollah and Israel in 2006, during which Israeli bombing leveled large swathes of the villages in south Lebanon and in Beirut's southern suburbs.The tactic of overwhelming force to strike civilian infrastructure as a measure of military deterrence was dubbed the “Dahiyeh Doctrine,” named after the area south of the capital that was targeted.Should another full-blown war erupt between Hezbollah and Israel, “even the city of Tyre will no longer be safe ... because all of the south was subject to bombing” in 2006, Mhanna said.Among the school's temporary residents is Mustafa Tahini, whose house in the border town of Aita al Shaab was destroyed in 2006, along with most of the village. Back then, aid flowed into Lebanon from Qatar and other countries for reconstruction, but this time, Tahini said, “God knows if someone will come to help us.”“I am not a political analyst. I hope things will calm down, but the things you see in the news aren't reassuring,” said Tahini, whose wife and children are staying with relatives in Beirut while he remains closer to home. Still, he said, he is mentally prepared for another war. “We've been through it before.”Sixty-two-year old Nasmieh Srour from the town of Duhaira has been staying in the school with her husband and two daughters for a week, along with many of the village's residents. Like Tahini, she was displaced in 2006; she is also stoic about the prospects of a wider conflict.“Maybe it will get bigger, maybe it will calm down - there’s no way to know," Srour said. Should the displacement become protracted, said Edouard Beigbeder the representative in Lebanon of UNICEF, the U.N. agency for children, said education will be one of the main casualties. Already 52 of the 300 schools in south Lebanon are closed due to the hostilities, leaving more than 8,000 children out of education in addition to those enrolled in the schools that are now being used as shelters, he said. A wider conflict would also threaten key infrastructure including electric supplies and, by extension, water supplies.“In any escalation," Beigbeder said, “it is the most vulnerable and the children who are (left) in dire situation.”。自从最后一艘“佩里”级护卫舰退役至今，美国已近十年没有护卫舰了。军事观察员周伟政分析，美国重新批量建造护卫舰与其强力推行“大国竞争”战略密切相关。

三 | 周伟政：美国停止建造和使用护卫舰是因为冷战后，美国海军自认为，已没有能与之抗衡的海上力量了。 美国的军事战略从“争夺制海权”转变为“由海制陆”“前沿存在”，重点打造偏重于对陆打击的“朱姆沃尔特”级驱逐舰以及濒海战斗舰。

四 | 美国重新开建新护卫舰，最根本的原因是美国军事战略、海军战略再次转型，要打所谓的“大国高端战争”，与地区强国争夺制海权。 加上美国到处推行所谓“航行自由”“军事存在”，迫切需要新型护卫舰承担低烈度条件下的常规任务。据报道，美海军计划总共建造20艘“星座”级护卫舰。军事观察员周伟政分析，美国加紧全球海上扩张但力有不逮，批量建造“星座”级护卫舰就是为了避免老旧舰艇退役后美海军面临“无舰可用”的尴尬。周伟政：由于面临多型舰艇逐步退出现役的状况，美国海军计划采购20艘“星座”级护卫舰，与下一代万吨级DDG(X)驱逐舰配套，作为航母编队的属舰， 承担编队防空反潜任务，同时也可能会以单舰或小编队形式，前往热点区域，承担军演、护航、巡逻等任务。军事观察周伟政指出，由于资金难保障和建造能力不足，“星座”级护卫舰能否如期完成批量建造计划，还存在很大不确定性。周伟政：美国计划一口气建造多艘新型护卫舰，难度比较大。 一方面，“星座”级护卫舰单舰造价高达16亿美元，一下子采购20艘，美国国会愿不愿意拨款很难说。另一方面，美国造船厂的能力早已经不复当年，建造新舰的速度赶不上老舰退役的速度，而且造船厂的产能也不是单靠财政拨款就能短期内提升的。如此看来，美国海军的造舰计划，面临很大的不确定性。

Current article:http://yvsm.ganweilingmukuai.shop/ng8/20260826/6622.html

Published on:01:12:02